As the latest season of The Office comes to its conclusion in the next week and a half, the answer to the biggest mystery of the TV season will come into focus: who replaces Michael Scott as branch manager? Since Steve Carell announced months ago that he would not return for an eighth season, it's been a storyline that fans have kept in the back of their minds going forward.
At some point, we knew that Michael would leave, especially when his true love Holly (Amy Ryan) returned on a temporary assignment as the head of HR. From there, it was only a matter of time before Michael finally took those long awaited steps in his personal life. But even though the fans have known from the start of the season that Michael would eventually leave, the show didn't address the situation in the series until only recently. That hasn't stopped them from offering up several famous faces as possible replacements. Just recently, Carell's Anchorman co-star Will Ferrell, returning to the network that he broke out on during his time on Saturday Night Live, joined the cast for a special four episode arc as Deangelo Vickers, Michael's immediate (and ultimately, temporary) replacement.
Deangelo was never meant to be a permanent character, most likely used for stunt casting given Carell's departure before the end of the season. And that temporary status played out rather quickly, with Deangelo's inability to manage, even more than Michael's worst decisions, coming to the surface in no time. Deangelo, like Michael, was full of some hot air, and Jim (John Krasinski) called him out on it. So...where does that leave Dunder Mifflin-Sabre Scranton going forward?
Dwight
This week, in the penultimate episode of the year, long-time assistant (to the) regional manager Dwight (Rainn Wilson) will take over as "acting" manager. The fact that the title of the episode uses the term acting in parenthesis isn't the only clue that Dwight's tenure at the top is probably short-lived.
He's twice been on the cusp of the branch, and both times they were destroyed rather quickly. In "The Coup" (Episode 3.03), Dwight went around Michael's back but never officially won the job. He paid for the treason by being forced to do Michael's laundry for a year. Not long after that, Dwight was handed the keys to the kingdom when Michael thought he was going to be promoted to a corporate position in "The Job" (Episodes 3.24-25). This was short-lived as Michael was passed over, return to the branch, and Dwight was demoted back to his normal position.
Neither of those temporary ascensions inspired much confidence in his co-workers as his "Schrute bucks" and lectures about the history of paper were dismissed. Not that Dwight wouldn't love another chance to be in charge. He made it clear that he wanted to be recommended by Michael, and was upset when he wasn't.
Jim
Jim also has branch manager experience, and it's real experience, unlike Dwight. He was promoted to co-manager in "The Meeting" (Episode 6.02) and held it for a few months, ultimately moving back to his position as salesman in "The Manager and the Salesman" (Episode 6.16). It wasn't the first time that Jim was in charge, often serving as the authority when Michael was out of the office. However, in his stints as branch manager, it became clear that Jim didn't care for the power or headaches of the office. He grew weary of the staff complaints in "Survivor Man" (Episode 4.11). Even serving as co-head of the Party Planning Committee with Dwight was too much for him to care about.
So would Jim put his name in the hat again? Maybe, but it's doubtful. Even more doubtful is that Sabre would promote him after he demoted himself to make more money on commission than as branch manager. The return of Jim to sales, marked with him dunking Dwight's tie into a coffee mug, served as a message that the show wants what the fans want, a fun-loving Jim. This is something that he would not be able to do as head of the branch.
Andy
Certainly Andy (Ed Helms) has been making overtures as executive material since being introduced in "Gay Witch Hunt" (Episode 3.01), proclaiming that he would move up the ladder when Stamford was merged into Scranton in "The Merger" (Episode 3.08). But in the years since, Andy's shortcomings have taken precedent over any strengths he would bring. He effectively lost the claim to any maneuvering up the corporate ladder when he went to the press about the printer explosions at the end of last season.
Andy can often be seen as "Michael-lite", trying to be everyone's friend first and foremost. His sales skills are also a lot to be desired, routinely at the bottom of the sales chart. It feels like Andy's future will be him moving forward as a salesman, as Michael gave him the parting gift of the top ten clients of the branch, those held by Michael himself. Although Andy's initial fears seemed to coming to fruition, as he lost one of the ten in mere seconds, he secured the rights to another onscreen.
Andy's journey isn't about him within the company. It's about him within himself. He has to get past the fear that he will fail to become a better salesman. His friendship with Darryl has been a strength as he evolved past his initial "inflated alpha male" personality.
Stanley or Phyllis
It's doubtful that either of these people are major candidates to take over. Stanley, like Dwight and Andy, has made it clear that he would like to be branch manager. In "Beach Games" (Episode 3.23), Stanley took a proactive stance in Michael's unique way of figuring out his recommendation.
However, Stanley's inability to care about anything other than his personal sales record (and that itself can be questioned) would mean a poor managerial stint.
Phyllis has never approached management, but her short-term time as the head of the Party Planning Committee could be an interesting barometer. She gained the job by blackmailing Angela (Angela Kinsey) in "Weight Loss (Episodes 5.01-02), but ultimately couldn't kill off Angela's vindictive personality, losing her edge in "Moroccan Christmas" (Episode 5.12). I don't think she has the guts to be political.
Kelly
She's a darkhorse candidate for sure, but Kelly has been making waves in the last year or so. She joined the Sabre minority executive training program in "Body Language" (Episode 6.23), and perhaps have an inside track by being Indian. This past year, she has taken her executive approach slightly more serious and has been a bit more assertive. However, she can still be manipulated by Ryan, and lacks sales experience.
Ryan
After his stint as an Executive Vice President in New York, during the fourth season, Ryan's experience seems to trump any of the in-house candidates. However, his failure to launch Dunder Mifflin Infinity in the way he had envisioned shoved him into limbo. He had to join the Michael Scott Paper Company and then tagged along when that was merged back into Dunder Mifflin during the latter half of the fifth season.
The one thing that works in Ryan's favor isn't that he would be promoted. It's that Kelly might be promoted. His chances are better with her as the voice in her ear, making decisions. Kelly has already put him behind the curtain, turning down Dwight's own aspirations.
Mr. Outside Hire
There are a load of famous faces coming to Scranton next week to interview for the job. Former Arrested Development star Will Arnett will play Fred Henry; Ray Romano will play Merv Bronte; Emmy winner James Spader will play Robert California, Emmy winner Ricky Gervais will reprise his role from the original British series as David Brent (Gervais cameoed in Episode 7.14 "The Seminar); Catherine Tate will play Nellie Bertrum; and Jim Carrey will appear in a still unnamed role. That's a load of big names coming in, and though it feels like stunt casting, it's almost necessary.
The Office lost double digit percentage in ratings from "Goodbye, Michael" (Episode 7.22) and "The Inner Circle (Episode 7.23). Names and faces are going to be a necessity to keep people tuned in. That doesn't mean one of these will end up in the permanent position, but for a short-term benefit, it isn't the worst thing in the world. Arnett was handpicked by Gervais to replace Carell, but he took a job as part of a pilot for NBC starring Christina Applegate and Maya Rudolph. That casts a serious doubt in him taking over.
Fringe candidates
There are a few names that could be tossed into the mix, but their chances of being brought back are slim to none. Todd Packer (David Koechner) returned to the branch this season in the self-title episode (Episode 7.18), but then quickly left to pursue a rumor about a corporate job with Sabre. Maybe he will have become friends with Sabre CEO Jo Bennett (Kathy Bates), but Todd inspires even less respect than Dwight.
Scranton's other traveling salesman Danny Cordray (Timothy Olyphant) has been conspicuous by his absence he joined the staff in "The Sting" (Episode 7.05) and the follow up, "Costume Contest" (Episode 7.06). He was recently named "the hottest in the office" during the Dundie awards (Episode 7.21), so he still works for Dunder Mifflin. But his ability to sell on the road would make him coming into the office a step backwards for the company. Olyphant's stint as Raylan Givens on FX's Justified, which recently was renewed for a third season to be broadcast in 2012, also puts a hamper on any long-term return.
We have no idea what Karen Filippelli (Rashida Jones) has been up to since Sabre bought the company. The last time we saw her, Lecture Circuit Part 1 (Episode 5.16), she was still manager of the Utica branch. She certainly had enough qualifications to be considered for Jan's replacement in "The Job". Jones' role on sister show Parks & Recreation should cancel her out from returning to The Office.
David Wallace (Andy Buckley) and Jan Levinson (Melora Hardin) served as executives within Dunder Mifflin for several seasons. However, both were ousted in tremendous fashion and have since moved on with their own projects. Wallace runs a vacuum brand called Suck It, while Jan has become a Director of Purchasing for an area hospital.
Darryl
This is the most wild of wildcard candidates as Darryl (Craig Robinson) has stealthy moved into a prominent position within the hierarchy of the branch. Darryl's role in the early season was strictly relegated to the warehouse. But he always been someone that felt "too good" to be held down, down to Earth and friendly enough to win over respect from others.
However, it wasn't until he moved into Jim's old office in "St. Patrick's Day" (Episode 6.19) and came up with an idea to streamline printer sales, that it felt like Darryl could be more than just a person that delivered one-liners from time to time. He could contribute to the story with realism.
Darryl became a source of venting for Michael during the last couple of years, as well as a reluctant ally to Andy when the printer explosion storyline started. He is friendly to everyone from Jim to Angela, so he wouldn't have problems with respect or authority. One of the things that would work against him is not taking part of the same executive training program that Kelly underwent. But his sharp ideas have already won over Jo, so Darryl very well could be the next in line to succeed Michael.
Bottom line
There is no telling if the position will even be filled by the end of "Search Committee Part 2" next Thursday. This is a storyline that could be coffee machine talk all summer, going into the seventh season. Obviously the show has its work cut out for it, judging by the ratings drop from two weeks to ago to last week. But the show has been around long enough that the brand can somewhat manage the damage and stabilize. The show doesn't
need a name to replace Carell. It needs something consistent.